Financial Insights and Trends for 2026 Planning

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As we close out 2025 and look toward 2026, individuals and businesses face one of the most significant tax landscape shifts in recent history. The expiration of key provisions from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act at the end of 2025 will fundamentally change tax planning strategies for millions of taxpayers. Understanding these changes now and taking proactive steps before the calendar turns provides opportunities to minimize tax burdens and position yourself for financial success in the years ahead.

The uncertainty surrounding potential congressional action makes strategic planning more critical than ever. While lawmakers may extend, modify, or replace some expiring provisions, prudent planning assumes the scheduled changes will take effect as written. This approach protects your financial interests regardless of legislative outcomes and positions you to capitalize on favorable provisions while they remain available.

Understanding the 2026 Tax Landscape

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 reshaped the American tax system with provisions benefiting both individuals and businesses. However, many of these changes were temporary, with expiration dates built into the original legislation. Unless Congress acts to extend or modify these provisions, significant portions of the tax code will revert to pre-2018 rules starting January 1, 2026.

This scheduled transition affects tax brackets, deductions, credits, and business incentives that millions of taxpayers currently rely on for financial planning. The magnitude of these changes cannot be overstated. From higher individual tax rates to the elimination of the qualified business income deduction, the expiring provisions touch nearly every aspect of personal and business taxation.

Congressional action remains uncertain. Political dynamics, competing priorities, and fiscal pressures create an environment where predicting outcomes is virtually impossible. Some provisions may receive extensions, others might be modified, and still others could expire as scheduled. This uncertainty underscores the importance of planning now rather than waiting to see what happens in Washington.

Major Individual Tax Changes Approaching

Individual taxpayers will experience several substantial changes as TCJA provisions expire. Understanding these modifications helps you develop strategies to minimize their impact on your financial situation.

Tax brackets will shift significantly, with rates increasing across most income levels. The current seven brackets, ranging from 10% to 37% will revert to higher rates, with the top bracket rising to 39.6%. More importantly, the income thresholds for these brackets will compress, meaning many taxpayers will reach higher rates at lower income levels than under current rules. Individual tax planning services can help you understand exactly how these changes affect your specific situation.

The standard deduction, which roughly doubled under TCJA, will be cut approximately in half. For 2025, married couples filing jointly can claim a standard deduction of $31,500, but this could drop to around $16,000 in 2026 under pre-TCJA rules (adjusted for inflation). This reduction will push many taxpayers back into itemizing deductions, making careful tracking of deductible expenses more important.

Perhaps most significantly for wealthy families, estate and gift tax exemptions are scheduled to drop dramatically. The current exemption of approximately $13.6 million per individual will be cut roughly in half to around $7 million in 2026. This change creates urgent planning opportunities for high-net-worth individuals to transfer wealth before the higher exemptions disappear. Estate planning strategies become especially critical in this environment.

The alternative minimum tax will also affect more taxpayers starting in 2026. The higher exemption amounts and phase-out thresholds under TCJA will revert to pre-2018 levels, potentially subjecting many more individuals to this parallel tax system that limits certain deductions and credits.

Critical Business Tax Considerations

Business owners face equally dramatic changes as key TCJA provisions expire. These modifications affect entity structure decisions, capital investment timing, and overall tax planning strategies.

The qualified business income deduction, commonly known as the Section 199A deduction, will sunset entirely at the end of 2025. This provision currently allows owners of pass-through entities like S corporations, partnerships, and sole proprietorships to deduct up to 20% of their qualified business income. Its elimination will significantly increase tax burdens for these business owners, potentially making C corporation structures more attractive for some businesses. Business consulting services can help you evaluate whether entity structure changes make sense for your situation.

Bonus depreciation continues its phaseout, dropping to 40% for property placed in service in 2025, then to 20% in 2026, before disappearing entirely in 2027. This gradual elimination affects capital investment timing decisions, particularly for businesses considering significant equipment purchases or facility improvements. Strategic acceleration of planned purchases into 2025 can preserve substantial tax benefits before they vanish.

The research and development tax credit treatment also requires attention. Changes implemented in 2022 requiring capitalization and amortization rather than immediate deduction continue to affect technology companies and manufacturers. Understanding how these rules interact with other tax changes helps optimize your overall tax position.

Strategic Planning Opportunities Before Year-End

The window for leveraging current favorable tax provisions is closing rapidly. Several strategic moves deserve consideration before December 31, 2025, to maximize benefits under existing rules.

Income timing strategies take on heightened importance. For individuals expecting higher rates in 2026, accelerating income into 2025 could lock in current lower rates. Conversely, deferring deductions into 2026 when rates are higher could provide a greater tax benefit. The optimal approach depends on your specific circumstances and projections.

Roth conversion opportunities merit serious consideration. Converting traditional IRA assets to Roth IRAs in 2025 while rates remain relatively lower could save substantial taxes over time compared to conversions or distributions in future years when rates may be higher. Year-round financial planning helps identify optimal conversion amounts that balance current tax costs against future benefits.

Gifting strategies become urgent for wealthy individuals. Using the current higher estate and gift tax exemptions before they potentially drop in half allows transferring substantial wealth tax-free. The IRS has confirmed that taxpayers using current higher exemptions won't face clawback if exemptions decrease, making 2025 a critical year for implementing gifting strategies.

Business owners should evaluate entity structure comprehensively. The elimination of the qualified business income deduction may tip the scales toward C corporation structures for some businesses, particularly those retaining earnings for growth rather than distributing profits to owners. Business structure planning requires careful analysis of multiple factors beyond just current-year tax rates.

Emerging Financial Trends Shaping 2026

Beyond tax law changes, several broader financial trends will influence planning strategies for 2026 and beyond. Staying informed about these developments helps create more robust and adaptable financial plans.

Technology continues transforming financial management and compliance. Automation tools streamline bookkeeping, enhance accuracy, and provide real-time insights into business performance. Artificial intelligence assists with tax planning, financial forecasting, and risk assessment. Embracing these technological advances improves decision-making and operational efficiency while reducing compliance burdens.

Regulatory compliance requirements continue evolving, with enhanced reporting obligations affecting businesses of all sizes. Form 1099-K thresholds are decreasing, beneficial ownership reporting requirements are expanding, and tax authorities are increasing enforcement activities. Maintaining compliance requires vigilant attention to changing rules and proactive system improvements.

Cash flow management grows increasingly critical as economic uncertainty persists. Interest rates, inflation concerns, and market volatility make careful cash management essential for business sustainability. Regular cash flow analysis, scenario planning, and maintaining adequate reserves help navigate uncertain economic conditions.

Essential Year-End 2025 Action Items

As 2025 draws to a close, specific action items deserve immediate attention to optimize your tax position and prepare for 2026 changes. Taking these steps before year-end can generate substantial savings and position you strategically for the transition ahead.

1. Comprehensive Financial Review

Review all financial statements, including profit and loss, balance sheet, and cash flow statements, to understand your current position and identify planning opportunities.

2. Updated Tax Projections

Work with tax planning professionals to project 2025 tax liability under various scenarios and identify strategies to optimize your position before year-end.

3. Strategic Investment and Expense Timing

Evaluate whether accelerating planned capital investments or business expenses into 2025 makes sense, given bonus depreciation phase-outs and other changing provisions.

4. Professional Consultation Scheduling

Schedule meetings with your advisory team to ensure coordinated planning across tax, legal, and financial domains before the year-end rush limits advisor availability.

Meeting with financial professionals well before year-end provides time for thorough analysis and implementation of recommended strategies rather than rushing decisions in late December.

Building Long-Term Financial Resilience

While 2026 brings significant changes, effective financial planning extends beyond responding to specific legislative modifications. Building a resilient, adaptive financial strategy serves you well regardless of future tax law changes or economic conditions.

Flexibility stands as the cornerstone of effective long-term planning. Rather than optimizing solely for current rules, create strategies that remain viable under multiple potential scenarios. This approach protects you whether Congress extends current provisions, allows them to expire, or implements entirely new rules.

Regular review schedules ensure your financial plan evolves with changing circumstances. Quarterly check-ins with your advisory team allow course corrections before small issues become major problems. Annual comprehensive reviews assess whether your overall strategy remains aligned with your goals and current rules. Ongoing professional guidance provides peace of mind that your plan stays current and effective.

Partner with Professionals During This Transition

The complexity of upcoming tax changes and strategic planning opportunities makes professional guidance particularly valuable during this transition period. The stakes are simply too high and the issues too complex for most individuals and business owners to navigate alone effectively.

The year ahead brings both challenges and opportunities. Contact our team today to discuss how we can help you navigate the transition to 2026 with confidence and capitalize on available planning opportunities before they disappear. Your financial success in the years ahead depends on actions you take now.



At Baker, Chi, and Parkey, our goal is to support your financial growth and stability with trusted guidance and personalized service. To learn more or discuss your unique needs, please reach out to us directly. Please note that the information provided in this blog is for general informational purposes only and is not intended to serve as legal advice. For specific advice regarding your situation, we encourage you to consult with one of our qualified professionals.

Timothy Baker

Timothy Baker, CPA, is the senior partner at Baker, Chi & Parkey with over four decades of experience in tax and tax law. A former sole practitioner and current instructor at California State University, Fresno, Mr. Baker combines his extensive professional expertise with a passion for educating future accountants.

https://www.bcpaccountants.com/timothy-baker
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